Lent Reading List - IDP2 lent 2013:
Please note that if references are marked with an asterisk (*) , they have been highlighted by your lecturers as being particularly useful to you.
Journal References
If available online the journal title will be linked to ABSTRACT LEVEL. You will have the option to download full-text or pdfs.
A number of these references will be available in the part II/III reprint collection housed in the Library Office. A full listing of what is in this collection is available on the Library website.
This list is by no means exhaustive; however it is also not compulsory to read every paper listed here. Papers and chapters that you should read are marked by an asterisk.
This list is by no means exhaustive; however it is also not compulsory to read every paper listed here. Papers and chapters that you should read are marked by an asterisk.
Prerequisite Reading:
General:
*Pierrehumbert, R.T. (2012), Principles of Planetary Climate, CHAPTER 1. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge UK, ISBN:9780521865562.
Milankovitch and past climate:
*Zachos, J. C., et al. (2001), Trends, rhythms, and aberrations in global climate 65 Ma to present, Science, 292, 686-693.
Millennial climate change:
*Rahmstorf, S. (2002), Ocean circulation and climate during the past 120,000 years, Nature, 419, 207-214.
Carbon cycle:
*Zeebe, R.E. (2012), History of Seawater Carbonate Chemistry, Atmospheric CO2, and Ocean Acidification: Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, v. 40, p. 141-165.
·
Useful texts:
- Wilson, R. C. L., et al. (2000), The Great Ice Age: climate change and life, Routledge, London and New York.
- Cronin,
T.M., 2010. Paleoclimates: Understanding
Climate Change Past and Present. Columbia University Press, ISBN
978-0-231-14494-0
- J.T.Houghton, Global warming, the complete briefing, (2004), Cambridge University Press
IPCC Assessment reports (available at www.ipcc.ch), including:
-
Houghton,
J. T., et al. (Eds.) (2001), Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis.
Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 881 pp., Cambridge University
Press, Cambridge. e.g.
- Third Assessment Report (2001), WG1 Chapter 3 (Carbon cycle and CO2), Fourth Assessment Report (2007), WG1 Chapter 6 (Paleoclimate).
- Houghton, J. (2002), The Physics of Atmospheres, 3rd ed., 320 pp., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
- Scheffer, M. (2009), Critical transitions in nature and society, Princeton University Press, Princeton.
- Singerland, R., and L. Kump (2011), Mathematical modelling of earth's dynamical systems: a primer, Princeton University Press, Princeton and Oxford.
- Sarmiento, J. L., and N. Gruber (2006), Ocean Biogeochemical Dynamics, 503 pp., Princeton University Press, Princeton.
- H. Elderfield (ed.) The oceans and marine geochemistry, Treatise on Geochemistry vol. 6 (2006) Elsevier.
- S. Emerson and J. Hedges, Chemical Oceanography and the Marine Carbon Cycle, (2008) Cambridge University Press
Reading List for Part I: Lectures 2-6
Lecture 2. (DH)
Introduction to the carbon cycle – reservoirs and rates of exchange
- Archer, D. 2010. The Global Carbon Cycle. Princeton University Press, 224 pp.
- S. Emerson and J. Hedges, Chemical Oceanography and the Marine Carbon Cycle, (2008) Cambridge University Press.
- Falkowski, P., et al. (2000), The global carbon cycle: a test of our knowledge of earth as a system, Science, 290, 291-296.
- J.T.Houghton, Global warming, the complete briefing, (2004), Cambridge University Press.
- http://www.ipcc.ch: International Panel on Climate Change.
Lecture 3. (DH)
Oceanic carbon chemistry – equilibrium reactions and kinetics.
- R. Zeebe and Wolf-Gladrow. CO2 in Seawater: Equilibrium, Kinetics, Isotopes. Elsevier Oceanography Series, 65, pp. 346, Amsterdam, 2001.
- Sarmiento, J. L., and N. Gruber (2006), Ocean Biogeochemical Dynamics, 503 pp., Princeton University Press, Princeton. (Chapter 8, 9)
Lecture 4. (DH)
Mechanisms of atmospheric CO2 changes on short time scales
- Archer, D. 2010. The Global Carbon Cycle. Princeton University Press, 224 pp.
Lecture 5. (DH)
History and causes of atmospheric CO2 changes on long time scales
- Sigman, D. M., and E. A. Boyle (2000), Glacial/interglacial variations in atmospheric carbon dioxide, Nature, 407, 859-869.
- Sarmiento, J. L., and N. Gruber (2006), Ocean Biogeochemical Dynamics, 503 pp., Princeton University Press, Princeton. (Chapter 10)
Lecture 6.
‘Guest lecture’: Phil Goodwin (Cambridge) on climate change and ocean chemistry
Reading List for PART II (Lectures 7-16):
Lecture 7. (LCS)
Climate sensitivity
- *Bigg, G. R.: The oceans and climate, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1998. Chapter 1.
- Marshall, J., and A. Plumb (2008), Atmosphere, Ocean and Climate Dynamics, Elsevier Academic Press. Chapter 2.
- Houghton, J. (2002), The Physics of Atmospheres, 3rd ed., 320 pp., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. Chapter 14
- .*Knutti, R., and G. C. Hegerl (2008), The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth's temperature to radiation changes, Nature Geoscience, 1, 735-743
- .Kohler, P., et al. (2010), What caused Earth's temperature variations during the last 800,000 years? Data-based evidence on radiative forcing and constraints on climate sensitivity, Quat. Sci. Rev., 29, 129-145. (Section 2: good summary of earth’s energy budget)
Lecture 8. (LCS)
Simple energy balance models
- Rose, B.E.J., and Marshall, J., 2009, Ocean Heat Transport, Sea Ice, and Multiple Climate States: Insights from Energy Balance Models: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, v. 66, p. 2828-2843
- .*North, G.R., Cahalan, R.F., and Coakley, J.A., 1981, ENERGY-BALANCE CLIMATE MODELS: Reviews of Geophysics, v. 19, p. 91-121.
- North, G.R., 1990, MULTIPLE SOLUTIONS IN ENERGY-BALANCE CLIMATE MODELS: Global and Planetary Change, v. 82, p. 225-235.
Lecture 9.
‘Guest lecture’: Michel Crucifix (Universite Catholique de Louvain) on the predictability of glacial-interglacial climate change
Lecture 10. (LCS)
A climate gain case study: Pleistocene G-IG cycles
- *Paillard, D. (2001). Glacial cycles: Toward a new paradigm. Reviews of Geophysics 39, 325-346. 2000RG000091. (excellent review)
- Paillard, D., and Parrenin, F. (2004). The Antarctic ice sheet and the triggering of deglaciations. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 227, 263-271.
- Huybers, P., and Denton, G. H. (2008). Antarctic temperature at orbital timescales controlled by local summer duration. Nature Geoscience. doi: 10.1038/ngeo311.
- *Huybers, P. (2006), Early Pleistocene glacial cycles and the integrated summer insolation forcing, Science, 313, 508-511
- .Paillard, D. (2006). What drives the ice age cycle? Science 313, 455-456.
Lecture 11 (LCS)
Anatomy of a tipping point
- Scheffer M (2009) Critical transitions in nature and society. Princeton University Press, Princeton, USA. (Chapter 1, 2, and 3 especially).
- *Scheffer M et al. (2009) Early-warning signals for critical transitions. Nature 461:53-59
- Dakos V et al. (2008) Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 105:14308-14312
- Lenton, T. M. et al. (2008). Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 105, 1786-1793
- .*May RM (1977) Thresholds and breakpoints in ecosystems with a multiplicity of stable states. Nature 269:471-477.
Lecture 12 (LCS)
Tipping point case studies 1: Abrupt change and the bipolar seesaw
- Wilson R.C.L., Drury S.A. and Chapman J.L. (2000). The Great Ice Age. Routledge, London, UK. ISBN 0-415-19842-9. (Chapter 6)
- *Barker, S., et al. (2011), 800,000 years of abrupt climate variability, Science, 334, 347-351.
- Alley, R. B. et al. (2003). Abrupt Climate Change. Science 299, 2005-2010.Rahmstorf, S. (2006). Thermohaline Ocean Circulation. In "Encyclopaedia of Quaternary Sciences." (S. A. Elias, Ed.). Elsevier, Amsterdam
- .Kuhlbrodt, T. et al. (2004). On the driving processes of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Reviews of Geophysics 45, 1-32. doi10.1029/2004RG000166. [more detailed than the preceding paper]
- *Rahmstorf, S. et al. (2011), Thermohaline circulation hysteresis: A model intercomparison, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, 1-5.
- Schulz, M. (2007). Low-frequency oscillations of the Atlantic Ocean meridional overturning circulation in a coupled climate model. Climate of the Past 3, 97-107.
- Lynch-Steiglitz, J. (2004). Hemispheric asynchrony of abrupt climate change. Science 304, 1919-1920.
- *Stocker, T. F., and Johnsen, S. J. (2003). A minimum thermodynamic model for the bipolar seesaw. Paleoceanography 18, PA1087.
- Ganopolski, A., and Rahmstorf, S. (2001). Rapid changes of glacial climate simulated in a coupled climate model. Nature 409, 153-158.
- Denton GH, et al. (2010) The Last Glacial Termination. Science 328:1652-1656
Lecture 13 (LCS)
Tipping point case studies 2: ‘Hysteresis’ and climate
- *Scheffer M (2009) Critical transitions in nature and society. Princeton University Press, Princeton, USA. (Chapter 1, 2, and 3).
- DeConto, R. M., and D. Pollard (2003), Rapid Cenozoic glaciation of Antarctica induced by declining atmospheric CO2, Nature, 421(6920), 245-249.
- Calov, R., et al. (2005), Transient simulation of the last glacial inception. Part I: glacial inception as a bifurcation in the climate system, Climate Dynamics, 24(6), 545-561
- .Ditlevsen, P. D. (2009), Bifurcation structure and noise-assisted transitions in the Pleistocene glacial cycles, Paleoceanography, 24
- .Ditlevsen, P. D., and S. J. Johnsen (2010), Tipping points: Early warning and wishful thinking, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37
- .Livina, V. N., et al. (2011), Changing climate states and stability: from Pliocene to present, Climate Dynamics, 37(11-12), 2437-2453
- .*Lenton, T. M. (2011), Early warning of climate tipping points, Nature Climate Change, 1(4), 201-209.
Lecture 14
‘Guest lecture’: Phil Goodwin (Cambridge) on dynamical systems.
- Stommel, H. H. (1961), Thermohaline convection with two stable regimes of flow, Tellus, 13, 224-230.
Lecture 15 (LCS)
Humans and (dangerous) climate change
- *O'Neill, B. C., and M. Oppenheimer (2002), Climate change - Dangerous climate impacts and the Kyoto protocol, Science, 296(5575), 1971-1972.
- Lenton, T. M. (2011), Beyond 2 degrees C: redefining dangerous climate change for physical systems, Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews-Climate Change, 2(3), 451-461.
Lecture 16
‘Guest lecture’: Peter Ditlevsen (Niels Bohr Institute, Copenhagen) on early warning signs
- Ditlevsen, P. D., and S. J. Johnsen (2010), Tipping points: Early warning and wishful thinking, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37.
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